Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that’s what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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